We document the time-series of employment rates and hours worked per employed by married couples in the US and seven European countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, and the UK) from the early 1980s through 2016. Relying on a model of joint household labor supply decisions, we quantitatively analyze the role of non-linear labor income taxes for explaining the evolution of hours worked of married couples over time, using as inputs the full country- and year-specific statutory labor income tax codes. We further evaluate the role of consumption taxes, gender and educational wage premia, and the educational composition. The model is quite successful in replicating the time series behavior of hours worked per employed married woman, with labor income taxes being the key driving force. It does however capture only part of the secular increase in married women’s employment rates in the 1980s and early 1990s, suggesting an important role for factors not considered in this paper. We will make the non-linear tax codes used as an input into the analysis available as a user-friendly and easily integrable set of Matlab codes. The appendix to this paper may be found at https://hceconomics.uchicago.edu/file-upload/appendix-long-term-changes-....
E60: Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
H20: Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General
H31: Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
J22: Time Allocation and Labor Supply