Research is developing rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic, a time when the public needs access to factual information. Many HCEO members are at the forefront of coronavirus-related research, examining areas ranging from unemployment numbers to the healthcare system to housing policy. Below you can find links to a range of research and writing from our members. We will update with new research as it becomes available.

 

Inequality

HI/MIP network member Kate Pickett and co-authors how COVID-19 has exposed inequalities in the UK food system

In another project, Kate Pickett and colleagues are assessing the impact of COVID on vulnerable groups in the UK

In a randomized field experiment in seven states, ECI network member Plamen Nikolov examine the economic determinants for social distancing

MIP network member Bertil Tungodden and colleagues explore how the pandemic has changed American attitudes on solidarity and inequality and luck

COVID Inequality Project, from ECI network member Teodora Boneva, SSSI alums Christopher Rauh and Abi Adams-Prassl

COVID-19: Exacerbating Educational Inequalities? by ECI network member Orla Doyle

Family Life in Lockdown In this HCEO working paper, ECI/HI network member Pietro Biroli and co-authors studied how the pandemic-related change in people's daily routines contributed to gender inequality within the household

Women’s Work, Housework and Childcare, Before and During COVID-19 In this HCEO working paper, FI/ECI network member Daniela Del Boca and co-authors show that most of the additional workload associated to COVID-19 falls on women, while childcare activities are more equally shared within the couple than housework activities.

 

Early Childhood

MIP network member Ariel Kalil spoke to USA Today about how low-income families will face more stress and have less access to resources during the crisis

Emma Tominey, an ECI network member, and co-authors examine children’s socio-emotional skills and the home environment

Research by Markets network member Matthias Doepke and co-authors on how COVID-19 is exacerbating inequalities in education was featured in The Economist

Supporting parents and children in the early years during (and after) the COVID-19 crisis, by HI network member Gabriella Conti

On University College London's COVID-19 podcast, HI network member Gabriella Conti discusses the effects of the coronavirus on inequality, mothers, and children

Child Care is Key to Our Economic Recovery This report, authored by MIP network member Aaron Sojourner, the National Women's Law Center, and the Center for Law and Social Policy, finds that at least $9.6 billion is needed each month to fully fund existing providers in the child care system during the coronavirus pandemic.

 

Unemployment and Markets

Predicting Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Using Google Trends

  • In advance of each week’s release, MIP network members Aaron Sojourner and Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham construct harmonized news-based measures of UI claims in a state over various sets of consecutive days. They forecast state and national UI claims using the estimated daily model.

Markets network member Lars Peter Hansen discusses how quantitative models can help policy makers respond to COVID-19

Markets can improve rationing of medical supplies, writes MIP network leader Scott Kominers

Price gouging represents a shift in essential goods from the poor to the wealthy at the worst time, according to Scott Kominers

Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design, by HCEO members Scott Kominers and Parag Pathak, and co-authors

Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic In this HCEO working paper, Markets network members Andy Glover and Dirk Krueger and co-authors study the optimal economic mitigation policy of a utilitarian government that can redistribute across individuals.

Sectoral Digital Intensity and GDP Growth After a Large Employment Shock: A Simple Extrapolation Exercise This HCEO working paper, by Markets network member Giovanni Gallipoli and Christos Makridis, looks at how coronavirus has affected output and employment, mediated by the digital economy.

US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic In this paper, Markets network member Peter Ganong and co-authors Pascal Noel and Joseph Vavra use micro data on earnings along with the details of each state's UI system under the CARES Act to compute the entire distribution of current UI benefits. They find that two-thirds of UI eligible workers can receive benefits that exceed lost earnings.

 

Information and Misinformation

The Relation between Media Consumption and Misinformation at the Outset of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic in the US, by Kathleen Hall Jamieson IP network member Dolores Albarracin

Demand for protective gear and Covid-19 information in the UK, by FI network members Climent Quintana-Domeque and Sonia Oreffice

 

Impact in China

China’s early warning system didn’t work on COVID-19, writes MIP network member Dali Yang

Dali Yang provides insight into the early actions in Wuhan


Policy Impact

COVID-19 is a global problem that needs a global solution, says Markets network member Raghuram Rajan

COVID-19 Housing Policy Scorecard

  • To better understand the steps states have taken to prevent homelessness during and after the pandemic, the Eviction Lab, directed by MIP network member Matthew Desmond, and Columbia Law School’s Professor Emily Benfer have developed a policy scorecard for each state, distilling the contents of thousands of newly-released emergency orders, declarations, and legislation into a clear set of critical measures included in, and left out of, state-level pandemic responses related to eviction and housing.

Optimal Management of an Epidemic: An Application to COVID-19. A Progress Report, by Markets network member Carlos Garriga, Rody Manuelli, and Siddhartha Sanghi

MIP network member Matthew Desmond spoke to NPR about what states are doing to help renters

An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine, HCEO working paper by Markets network member Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey, and David Berger

Effect of Universal TB Vaccination and Other Policy-Relevant Factors on the Probability of Patient Death from COVID-19 In this HCEO working paper, MIP network member Amos Golan and co-authors work to identify underlying policy-relevant factors that could be leveraged to decrease future COVID-19 death rates.

The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks HI network leader Burton Singer and co-authors find that symptom-based isolation must be supplemented by rapid contact tracing and testing that identifies asymptomatic and presymptomatic cases, in order to safely lift current restrictions and minimize the risk of resurgence.